North Dakota Wheat Commission dtn events about resources stay
buyers wheat consumers research publications
Home












Buyers and Processors
Printer Friendly
Crop Progress Report June 21, 2017

Drought conditions continue to stress significant portions of the 2017 U.S. hard red spring wheat crop, although recent rains and cooler temperatures are expected to provide some stabilizing impacts. This week's crop condition report may not reflect all the impact of recent rains on the crop, as another week of declines was noted. As of June 18, 41 percent of the national crop is rated good to excellent, down from 45 percent the previous week. A larger shift took place in the poor to very poor category with 27 percent now rated poor to very poor, up from 20 percent the previous week. This is likely due to the fact that recent rains tended to be more significant in totals and broader in coverage across central and eastern parts of the region, but were less significant and more scattered in drier western areas. Condition ratings declined in all major states this week, but to a lesser degree than previous weeks.

In South Dakota, three-fourths of the crop is rated poor to very poor, followed by Montana with 37 percent rated poor to very poor, and North Dakota with 24 percent. In Minnesota, 89 percent of the crop is still rated good to excellent with zero percent poor to very poor. In the driest parts of the region, with advanced crops, some wheat acres are being hayed, or condemned for crop insurance, with hopes of replanting to a hay crop. So far this is limited acres, but additional rainfall is still critically needed in much of the western half of the region. The later planted portions of the crop across northern parts of the region, will likely benefit the most from recent rains.

Crop development remains near normal overall with 15 percent headed, just slightly below the 5 year average of 17 percent, but behind the 2016 pace of 25 percent. Crop heading ranges from 65 percent in South Dakota, to 22 percent in Minnesota, to 9 percent in North Dakota and zero in Montana. In Montana, 13 percent of the crop is yet to emerge due to dry topsoil conditions.

The northern U.S. durum crop continues to show stress from the ongoing drought conditions, although the primary production regions did receive some precipitation in the past week. The latest crop condition ratings in North Dakota saw a notable increase in the poor to very poor category, at 21 percent, up from just 8 percent the previous week. Only 18 percent is rated good to excellent, down marginally from 20 percent the previous week. No condition ratings were available for Montana, but the primary production region remains overly dry. In Montana, nearly 20 percent of the crop has yet to emerge due to dry top soils. In North Dakota, 60 percent of the crop is at the jointing stage of development, about 20 percentage points ahead of average, with 6 percent of the crop headed.





Crop Condition Ratings - Percent of Crop in each Condition
  V Poor Poor Fair Good Excellent Index
ND Spring - this week 6 18 34 39 3 315
ND Spring - last week 6 11 40 39 4 324
ND Durum - this week 3 18 61 18 0 294
ND Durum - last week 1 7 72 20 0 311
Minnesota -this week 0 0 11 66 23 412
Minnesota - last week 0 0 7 71 22 415
Montana - this week 13 24 44 13 6 275
Montana - last week 11 20 46 16 7 288
South Dakota - this week 38 36 23 11 2 233
South Dakota - last week 21 36 30 12 1 236
U.S. - this week 9 18 32 35 6 311
U.S. - last week 7 13 35 38 7 325
As of June 18, 2017


Percent Headed and Harvested by State
  6/18/17 Last week Last year 5 Year Avg.
ND Spring - % headed* 9 3 22 14
ND Spring - % harvested na na na na
ND Durum - % headed 6 0 0 0
ND Durum - % harvested na na na na
Minnesota - % headed* 22 2 43 27
Minnesota - % harvested na na na na
Montana - % headed* 0 na 5 3
Montana - % harvested na na na na
South Dakota - % headed* 65 37 48 40
South Dakota - % harvested na na na na
U.S. - % headed* 15 na 25 17
U.S. - % harvested na na na na
Percent headed as of June 18, 2017


Percent Planted and Emerged by State
  6/11/17 6/4/17 6/11/16 5 Year Avg.
ND Spring - planted 96 88 97 85
ND Spring - emerged 98 92 99 87
ND Durum - planted 92 72 92 76
ND Durum - emerged 97 84 88 79
Minnesota - planted 100 99 100 92
Minnesota - emerged 100 100 100 95
Montana - planted 93 86 96 95
Montana - emerged 83 78 97 92
South Dakota - planted 100 99 100 98
South Dakota - emerged 100 100 100 98
U.S. - planted 96 90 98 91
U.S. - emerged 95 90 99 92

Subscription Information

To subscribe to our Crop Progress Report, please go to our Stay Informed Section and register!